Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000200 0.000224 0.000249 0.000278 0.000310 0.000345 0.000386
2025-06-08 0.000163 0.000195 0.000231 0.000274 0.000325 0.000384 0.000457
2025-06-15 0.000139 0.000175 0.000218 0.000273 0.000342 0.000425 0.000532
2025-06-22 0.000119 0.000157 0.000205 0.000270 0.000354 0.000460 0.000603
2025-06-29 0.000106 0.000147 0.000200 0.000274 0.000375 0.000507 0.000693
2025-07-06 0.000095 0.000137 0.000193 0.000276 0.000392 0.000549 0.000779
2025-07-13 0.000084 0.000126 0.000185 0.000273 0.000402 0.000583 0.000857
2025-07-20 0.000078 0.000121 0.000183 0.000280 0.000426 0.000637 0.000965
2025-07-27 0.000072 0.000115 0.000179 0.000282 0.000442 0.000680 0.001060
2025-08-03 0.000066 0.000108 0.000174 0.000283 0.000455 0.000720 0.001154
2025-08-10 0.000060 0.000101 0.000168 0.000279 0.000462 0.000750 0.001234
2025-08-17 0.000055 0.000097 0.000165 0.000281 0.000478 0.000794 0.001339
2025-08-24 0.000051 0.000091 0.000159 0.000279 0.000486 0.000827 0.001430
2025-08-31 0.000047 0.000086 0.000154 0.000278 0.000496 0.000865 0.001532
2025-09-07 0.000043 0.000082 0.000151 0.000278 0.000510 0.000909 0.001647
2025-09-14 0.000040 0.000078 0.000146 0.000276 0.000517 0.000943 0.001748
2025-09-21 0.000038 0.000075 0.000145 0.000281 0.000538 0.001002 0.001898
2025-09-28 0.000035 0.000073 0.000143 0.000283 0.000554 0.001052 0.002033
2025-10-05 0.000033 0.000069 0.000139 0.000281 0.000561 0.001088 0.002146
2025-10-12 0.000032 0.000068 0.000139 0.000288 0.000587 0.001160 0.002331
2025-10-19 0.000030 0.000066 0.000137 0.000290 0.000603 0.001213 0.002484
2025-10-26 0.000028 0.000063 0.000135 0.000290 0.000616 0.001263 0.002633
2025-11-02 0.000026 0.000060 0.000131 0.000287 0.000621 0.001295 0.002750